Big Picture: Crypto prediction markets dominated this week's volume, with 2028 US Presidential candidates collectively attracting over $2B in wagers. Federal Reserve policy and international elections round out the top tier.
| # | Market | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | $1.28B |
| 2 | Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | $703.5M |
| 3 | Brazil Presidential Election | $148.6M |
| 4 | Fed Decision in September? | $132.6M |
| 5 | Next French Presidential Election | $132.3M |
| 6 | UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion | $31.7M |
| 7 | 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) | $25.0M |
| 8 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | $2.0M |
| 9 | Bitcoin above ___ on July 29? | $1.4M |
| 10 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto | $1.3M |
| 11 | Bitcoin above ___ on August 8? | $1.1M |
| 12 | Elon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026? | $1.0M |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton | $971K |
| 14 | Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse | $970K |
| 15 | Bitcoin above ___ on July 26? | $828K |
| 16 | The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova | $778K |
| 17 | Bitcoin above ___ on September 12? | $709K |
| 18 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury | $688K |
| 19 | Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockx | $674K |
| 20 | UFC Fight Night: Gigi Canuto vs. Carol Foro (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) | $665K |
🏛️ US 2028 Presidential Race The Democratic and Republican nomination markets have attracted over $2B combined, making political prediction markets the single largest category by volume. Democratic Nominee 2028 leads at $1.28B — voters are actively hedging on potential candidates years ahead of the election.
🏦 Fed September Decision The "Fed Decision in September?" market has $132.6M in volume — traders are pricing in near-term Fed policy moves with significant capital committed.
🌏 International Elections Brazil Presidential Election ($148.6M) and Next French Presidential Election ($132.3M) round out the top 5, showing strong global interest in political outcomes beyond the US.
⚽ Sports Betting UEFA Champions League 2027 Champion ($31.7M) and 2026 Men's US Open Winner ($25M) represent the sports prediction market segment.
₿ Bitcoin Price Targets Multiple bitcoin price milestone markets continue to attract speculative volume, with several targeting specific dollar thresholds on future dates.
Data via Polymarket.com — volume data from CLOB API