🔥 Polymarket Hot Markets

Top 20 prediction markets by volume — 2026-09-09 · Source: Polymarket.com

Polymarket Hot Markets — 2026-09-09

Total markets tracked: 20 | Source: Polymarket.com


🏆 Top 5 by Volume

Rank Market Volume Lead Outcome
1 Presidential Election Winner 2028 $704.0M Donald Trump @ 24¢
2 Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 $701.1M Donald Trump @ 50¢
3 Brazil Presidential Election $145.5M Lula @ 53¢
4 Fed Decision in September? $104.8M No change @ 99.9¢
5 UEFA Champions League 2027 $28.5M Real Madrid @ 19¢

📊 Full Market Rankings

1. Presidential Election Winner 2028

Volume: $704.0M | URL: https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028

Outcome YES ¢ NO ¢
Donald Trump 24.2¢ 76.0¢
Nikki Haley 13.3¢ 86.8¢
Ron DeSantis 11.9¢ 88.2¢
J.D. Vance 8.8¢ 91.3¢
Vivek Ramaswamy 7.1¢ 93.0¢
Tim Scott 3.7¢ 96.4¢
Marco Rubio 3.5¢ 96.6¢
Kristi Noem 2.4¢ 97.7¢

2. Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Volume: $701.1M | URL: https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028

Outcome YES ¢ NO ¢
Donald Trump 50.3¢ 49.8¢
Nikki Haley 20.1¢ 80.0¢
Ron DeSantis 3.5¢ 96.6¢
J.D. Vance 2.4¢ 97.8¢
Vivek Ramaswamy 2.0¢ 98.1¢
Tim Scott 1.8¢ 98.3¢
Marco Rubio 1.6¢ 98.5¢
Kristi Noem 0.9¢ 99.2¢

3. Brazil Presidential Election

Volume: $145.5M | URL: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election

Outcome YES ¢ NO ¢
Lula 53¢ 48¢
Bolsonaro 45.5¢ 54.7¢
Simone Tebet 1.3¢ 98.9¢
Padilha 0.8¢ 99.3¢
Ciro Gomes 0.3¢ 99.8¢
Lewandowski 0.2¢ 99.9¢

4. Fed Decision in September?

Volume: $104.8M | URL: https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-september-762

Outcome YES ¢ NO ¢
No change 0.2¢ 99.9¢
25bp cut 0.5¢ 99.6¢
50bp cut 46¢ 55¢
75bp cut 55¢ 46¢
25bp hike 0.5¢ 99.6¢

5. UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Volume: $28.5M | URL: https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-2027-champion-20260701202025549

Outcome YES ¢ NO ¢
Real Madrid 19¢ 82¢
Manchester City 16¢ 85¢
Arsenal 15¢ 86¢
Liverpool 13¢ 88¢
Bayern Munich 13¢ 88¢
PSG 92¢
Barcelona 96¢
Inter Milan 2.8¢ 97.3¢

6. Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Volume: $25.9M | URL: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-gain-most-seats-in-russian-parliamentary-election

Outcome YES ¢ NO ¢
United Russia 74¢ 27¢
Communist Party 22.6¢ 77.8¢
LDPR 3.0¢ 97.2¢
A Just Russia 1.2¢ 98.9¢

7. 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Volume: $22.9M | URL: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis

Outcome YES ¢ NO ¢
Jannik Sinner 59¢ 42¢
Carlos Alcaraz 27.5¢ 72.6¢
Novak Djokovic 7.5¢ 94.0¢
Alexander Zverev 6.0¢ 95.2¢
Taylor Fritz 2.6¢ 97.8¢
Tommy Paul 2.0¢ 98.6¢
Ben Shelton 0.1¢ 0.0¢
Frances Tiafoe 0.1¢ 0.0¢

8. SMU vs. Florida State

Volume: $2.3M | URL: https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-smu-flst-2026-09-07

Market details pending...

9. Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Volume: $2.0M | URL: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-minaur-tsitsip-2026-07-27

Market details pending...

10. Bitcoin above ___ on July 29?

Volume: $1.4M | URL: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-july-29-2026

Market details pending...


💡 Key Market Themes

1. US 2028 Presidential Election dominates — The two presidential markets alone account for $1.4B+ in volume, far exceeding all other categories combined. Donald Trump leads both markets at 24¢ (2028 winner) and 50¢ (GOP nominee).

2. Brazil election race tight — Lula at 53¢ vs Bolsonaro's proxies at 45¢ suggest a competitive but incumbent-favored race.

3. Fed September cut nearly ruled out — "No change" at 99.9¢ and "50bp cut" at 0.2¢ indicate the market sees virtually zero chance of a Fed cut in September.

4. Champions League 2027 — Real Madrid leads at 19¢, with Manchester City (16¢) and Arsenal (15¢) close behind.

5. Russian parliamentary election — United Russia expected to retain most seats (74¢ YES), consistent with historical pattern.


📈 Sports & Crypto Markets

Market Volume Top Odds
2026 Men's US Open Winner $22.9M TBD @ 59¢
SMU vs. Florida State (CFB) $2.3M
de Minaur vs Tsitsipas $2.0M
Bitcoin above $___ on Jul 29 $1.4M

Sports and crypto markets remain smaller but active.


Data fetched 2026-09-09 from Polymarket via hot markets ranked by volume. Prices represent current YES/N O probabilities in cents.