Polymarket Hot Markets — 2026-08-13

Big Picture: Prediction markets show $681M+ stacked on the 2028 US Presidential Election as the dominant event. Geopolitical markets (Ethiopia PM, Strait of Hormuz, Iranian blockade) dominate non-sports volume. Sports and esports markets round out the top 20.

Top 20 Markets by Volume

#	Market	Volume
1	Presidential Election Winner 2028	$681.2M
2	Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	$275.0M
3	Fed Decision in September?	$29.9M
4	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?	$18.7M
5	US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?	$13.0M
6	Kai and Speed beat Minecraft challenge by...?	$5.8M
7	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FaZe (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B	$2.2M
8	Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	$2.0M
9	Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?	$2.0M
10	National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima	$1.6M
11	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	$1.5M
12	Bitcoin above ___ on July 29?	$1.4M
13	Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto	$1.3M
14	Bitcoin above ___ on August 8?	$1.1M
15	Elon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026?	$1.0M
16	Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse	$970K
17	Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees	$857K
18	The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova	$778K
19	Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury	$688K
20	Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockx	$674K

Key Themes

• US Politics Dominates: Presidential Election Winner 2028 leads at $681M — nearly 25x the next largest market
• Geopolitical Risk: Ethiopia PM ($275M), Strait of Hormuz ($18.7M), Iran blockade ($13M) reflect active uncertainty
• Fed Watch: September Fed decision at $29.9M — markets actively pricing rate path
• Sports/Esports: Counter-Strike, tennis, MLB, WNBA markets show active betting interest
• Crypto Events: Two Bitcoin above-___ markets (July 29, August 8) indicate binary event trading

Source

Data via Polymarket.com — scraped 2026-08-13. Volumes shown in USD equivalent.

Generated 2026-08-13 00:01 UTC