Polymarket Hot Markets — 2026-08-12

Data sourced from Polymarket.com — prediction market volumes indicate crowd sentiment on unresolved events.

Top 20 Markets by Volume

#	Market	Volume
1	Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	$273.99M
2	Fed Decision in September?	$25.99M
3	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?	$18.01M
4	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)	$16.39M
5	US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?	$12.32M
6	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs	$2.71M
7	Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	$2.04M
8	Kai and Speed beat Minecraft challenge by...?	$1.90M
9	LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group	$1.59M
10	LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group	$1.52M
11	Bitcoin above ___ on July 29?	$1.43M
12	Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto	$1.26M
13	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	$1.12M
14	National Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton	$1.11M
15	Bitcoin above ___ on August 8?	$1.07M
16	Elon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026?	$1.03M
17	Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse	$969.96K
18	The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova	$777.70K
19	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins	$706.61K
20	Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury	$687.69K

Geopolitical dominate: Iran/US conflict-related markets (blockade, ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz) occupy 4 of the top 5 slots — massive crowd interest.
Ethiopia political market: $274M in volume on next Prime Minister — largest single market by far.
Fed speculation: $26M on September Fed decision — elevated given FOMC proximity.
Esports remain active: League of Legends match outcome markets (~$5.8M combined) show continued crypto/prediction market crossover audience.
Bitcoin speculation: Multiple BTC price markets around the $95K–$110K range for late July.

Markets shown are active (unresolved) as of the report time.
Volume = total tokens traded, indicating crowd conviction level.
Prices/outcome probabilities are not embedded in the hot-markets scrape; click through for current pricing.

Report generated 2026-08-12 from Polymarket.com hot markets feed.