Polymarket Hot Markets

Real-time prediction market volume rankings — 2026-08-10

The prediction markets on Polymarket remain heavily concentrated on US-Iran tensions and the Strait of Hormuz standoff, collectively accounting for over $65M in open interest. The Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 market continues to dominate overall volume at $1.25B, reflecting sustained political speculation ahead of the 2028 election cycle. Sports and crypto markets round out the top 20, with tennis, MLB, WNBA, and bitcoin price markets seeing elevated activity.

Politics & Geopolitics 7 Sports 8 Crypto 3
#MarketCategoryVolume
1 Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Politics & Geopolitics $1.3B
2 Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Politics & Geopolitics $272.5M
3 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Politics & Geopolitics $23.5M
4 Fed Decision in September? Politics & Geopolitics $20.9M
5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...? Politics & Geopolitics $16.1M
6 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause) Politics & Geopolitics $15.2M
7 US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Politics & Geopolitics $9.5M
8 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Sports $2.0M
9 Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres Sports $1.5M
10 Bitcoin above ___ on July 29? Crypto $1.4M
11 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Sports $1.3M
12 Bitcoin above ___ on August 8? Crypto $1.1M
13 Elon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026? Other $1.0M
14 Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse Sports $970K
15 Bitcoin above ___ on July 26? Crypto $828K
16 The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova Other $778K
17 Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury Sports $688K
18 Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockx Sports $674K
19 UFC Fight Night: Gigi Canuto vs. Carol Foro (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) Sports $665K
20 LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Sports $641K