Big Picture: The prediction markets on Polymarket continue to see heavy volume concentrated on geopolitical and macro themes. The 2028 US Presidential Election leads by a wide margin at $673M, followed by Ethiopia's next Prime Minister ($249M) and Iran leadership outcomes ($36M). Bitcoin price targets for July round out the top tier.
| Market | Volume |
|---|---|
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | $673.7M |
| Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | $249.4M |
| Iran leader end of 2026? | $36.9M |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in July? | $22.8M |
| What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026? | $15.6M |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause) | $7.1M |
| Fed Decision in September? | $5.5M |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | $4.3M |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | $3.1M |
| Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026? | $2.2M |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | $2.0M |
| Bitcoin above ___ on July 29? | $1.4M |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto | $1.3M |
| Elon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026? | $1.0M |
| Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse | $1.0M |
| Bitcoin above ___ on July 30? | $0.8M |
| SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo | $0.8M |
| The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova | $0.8M |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds | $0.7M |
| Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockx | $0.7M |
The 2028 Presidential Election market will likely remain the highest-volume market for months as candidate fields solidify. Iran leadership and US-Iran ceasefire markets reflect live geopolitical risk premiums. The next Fed meeting cycle in September should push the rate-cut market higher. Bitcoin markets will continue reacting to macro conditions and ETF flows.
Data sourced from Polymarket.com markets page. Volumes are 24-hour trading volume where available.