Polymarket Hot Markets — 2026-07-25
*Total trading volume across top 20 markets: **$2.40B***
Top 10 by Trading Volume
| # |
Market |
Volume |
| 1 |
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 |
$1.25B |
| 2 |
Presidential Election Winner 2028 |
$670.3M |
| 3 |
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? |
$230.0M |
| 4 |
Fed Decision in July? |
$91.0M |
| 5 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
$47.1M |
| 6 |
NBA: LeBron James Next Team |
$44.1M |
| 7 |
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 |
$20.8M |
| 8 |
What price will Bitcoin hit in July? |
$17.6M |
| 9 |
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026? |
$11.7M |
| 10 |
NBA: 2027 Champion |
$11.1M |
Sports & Entertainment
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? — $5.1M
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season — $2.1M
- World Cup Final: U.S. Viewership — $1.1M
- Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse — $970K
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays — $793K
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets — $717K
- Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockx — $674K
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha — $614K
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates — $558K
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies — $553K
Key Themes
- 2028 US Elections dominate: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 ($1.25B) and Presidential Election Winner 2028 ($670M) together represent ~$1.9B in volume — the single largest category on the platform
- Fed July decision: ~$91M riding on the July FOMC meeting outcome
- Geopolitical intrigue: Ethiopia PM market ($230M) and US/Iran invasion market ($47M) show strong non-US political interest
- Crypto energy: Bitcoin July price market ($17.6M) and WTI crude ($11.7M) reflect commodities speculation
- NBA markets active: LeBron James next team ($44M) and 2027 champion ($11M) show sustained sports betting interest
Data sourced from Polymarket.com via on-chain volume rankings. Prices shown are market-determined probabilities.