Polymarket Hot Markets — 2026-07-24

Overview

Total markets tracked: 20. Top 20 by volume below. Prices are in USD per share (0–1 scale).

Total volume across top 20 markets: $2.53B. Elections dominate the board — US 2028 Presidential markets alone account for ~$1.9B. Crypto-linked questions (Bitcoin price targets) remain consistently popular. Sports and culture markets round out the top 20.

Top 20 Markets by Volume

# Market Category Vol Price (Yes)
1 Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Elections › Primaries $1246.0M $0.20
2 Presidential Election Winner 2028 Elections › Global Elections $669.6M $0.20
3 Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Elections › Global Elections $228.0M $0.96
4 Brazil Presidential Election Elections › Brazil $115.3M $0.61
5 Fed Decision in July? Finance › Fed $88.1M $0.74
6 What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Crypto › Bitcoin $49.6M $0.75
7 NBA: LeBron James Next Team Sports › Basketball $40.1M $0.46
8 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? Sports › 2026 FIFA World Cup $26.8M $1.00
9 Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Sports › Soccer $20.4M $0.41
10 What price will Bitcoin hit in July? Crypto › Bitcoin $16.7M $0.46
11 What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026? Finance › Commodities $11.0M $0.79
12 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Geopolitics › Iran $3.5M $0.99
13 LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Esports › League Of Legends $3.5M $0.50
14 Elon Musk # tweets July 17 - July 24, 2026? Mentions › Tweet Markets $2.8M $0.51
15 Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals Sports › Baseball $2.3M $0.99
16 Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers Sports › Baseball $1.4M $0.34
17 Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse Sports › Games $1.0M $1.00
18 Bitcoin above ___ on July 24? Crypto › Bitcoin $0.8M $1.00
19 Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockx Sports › Games $0.7M $1.00
20 Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht Sports › Games $0.6M $1.00

Key Themes

  1. US 2028 Presidential Race dominates — Democratic Nominee ($1246.0M) and Election Winner (669.6M) together represent ~$1915.6B in resolved volume, making politics the single largest category on Polymarket.
  2. Fed rate cut speculation — 'Fed Decision in July?' ($88M) shows continued interest in macro monetary policy timing.
  3. Bitcoin price targets — Two BTC price markets in the top 10 (2026 year-end @ $50M, July target @ $17M) reflect ongoing crypto speculation.
  4. International politics — Ethiopia PM market ($228M) and Brazil Presidential ($115M) show strong non-US political prediction markets.
  5. Sports & culture — LeBron's next team ($40M), Ballon d'Or winner ($20M), and Trump WC Champions photo market ($27M) round out diverse entertainment speculation.

Looking Ahead

US election markets will continue to dominate volume as the 2028 primary calendar approaches. The Fed July decision and Bitcoin price action will keep macro/crypto markets active. Watch for new World Cup-related markets as the 2026 tournament progresses.

Data sourced from Polymarket.com on 2026-07-24. Volume figures are in US dollars.