Polymarket Hot Markets

Polymarket Hot Markets — 2026-07-23

Big Picture: Polymarket's top markets continue to be dominated by political and macro events, with over $668M in volume on the Presidential Election Winner 2028 market alone. Sports markets (NBA, MLB, esports) round out the top 20, reflecting diverse speculative interest across categories.

Top 20 Markets by Volume

#	Market	Volume
1	Presidential Election Winner 2028	$668.4M
2	Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	$226.0M
3	Fed Decision in July?	$84.9M
4	NBA: LeBron James Next Team	$38.5M
5	Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	$20.0M
6	Ballon d'Or Winner 2026	$19.5M
7	What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?	$10.0M
8	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	$2.8M
9	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?	$2.4M
10	Elon Musk # tweets July 17 - July 24, 2026?	$2.2M
11	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels	$1.4M
12	Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox	$1.4M
13	San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals	$1.1M
14	Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse	$970.0K
15	New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers	$913.5K
16	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies	$837.5K
17	Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	$736.3K
18	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	$719.9K
19	Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies	$697.4K
20	San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves	$696.2K

Key Market Themes

Political Markets Lead: The 2028 Presidential Election market dominates with $668M+ in volume, nearly 3x the second-largest market
Fed Speculation Active: The "Fed Decision in July?" market has $85M+ in volume, reflecting uncertainty around monetary policy
Sports Betting Popular: MLB, NBA, Counter-Strike, Valorant, and tennis markets all appear in the top 20
Geopolitical Interest: Israel-Iran ceasefire market shows sustained interest at $2.4M volume
Celebrity/Macro Speculation: Elon Musk tweet-count market and WTI Crude oil price markets show creative speculative appetite

Data sourced from Polymarket.com markets API — 2026-07-23